News & Views

Global markets were mixed over the week as investors weighed easing inflation expectations against political and geopolitical uncertainty. UK equities posted modest gains, supported by large-cap stocks, while US markets diverged, with defensive sectors outperforming as technology shares came under renewed pressure. Central banks maintained a cautious, data-dependent stance, and attention now turns to a busy week of economic data that could shape near-term market expectations.

Global markets were mixed over the past week as easing inflation expectations were weighed against ongoing policy uncertainty and geopolitical developments. UK equities moved higher, supported by resilient large-cap stocks, while US markets finished lower amid a more cautious risk tone. Inflation forecasts continued to improve, with the IMF signalling further disinflation, while central bank policy, commodity price volatility and geopolitical developments remained key drivers

Markets remained cautious over the week as investors navigated persistent inflation concerns, mixed economic signals and restrained central bank messaging. UK and US equities moved modestly lower overall, though technology stocks outperformed. Commodities showed a clear split, with precious metals benefiting from safe-haven demand while energy prices stayed subdued. Geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty continued to shape sentiment as markets look further into 2026.

2025 was a strong year for global equities, with most major regions delivering double-digit returns. Asia ex-Japan led on AI-driven tech gains and China stimulus, while Europe benefited from ECB rate cuts and Germany’s €500bn investment plan. Japan attracted foreign inflows following policy normalisation and corporate reform. Despite tariff volatility, resilient earnings and easing monetary policy supported positive returns across North America and the UK.

Global markets opened October on firmer ground, led by UK equities and record highs in precious metals. While U.S. gains were steadier, renewed political tension in Europe and volatile oil prices kept investors cautious. Inflation in the euro area edged above target, reinforcing expectations that central banks will hold steady as markets navigate a delicate start to the fourth quarter.

Markets ended September with diverging performances, as UK equities outpaced global peers while U.S. indices split between industrial strength and tech weakness. Safe-haven demand lifted gold to new records, while oil prices fluctuated on supply headlines. Central bankers struck a cautious tone, with the Bank of England signalling confidence in disinflation and the ECB describing inflation as “reasonably benign.”

Markets opened September with mixed results, as UK equities inched higher while U.S. indices diverged. Commodities strengthened on supply risks and central bank policy expectations, while UK housing and inflation developments added to uncertainty. Investors now turn to key inflation data, GDP figures, and central bank decisions in the week ahead.