News & Views

Rising energy costs kept inflation and interest rates firmly in focus, as the ECB announced a rate increase and US wholesale inflation accelerated. This week’s review also explores the financial fallout from UK flight disruption, escalating US–Canada trade tensions and new sustainability guidance for advisers. Looking ahead, decisions from the Federal Reserve and Bank of England take centre stage alongside key economic data.

Markets remained broadly flat as oil prices climbed, Eurozone inflation rose and investors looked ahead to the ECB’s latest interest-rate decision.

US equity markets rebounded over the week, led by technology stocks, while UK shares finished slightly lower. Investors remained focused on renewed energy-driven inflation pressures, rising government bond yields and the prospect of further interest-rate increases. This week’s review also examines record ocean temperatures, Nepal’s flood-recovery challenge and the key economic releases ahead.

July saw market leadership broaden beyond technology, with UK equities, commodity-linked markets and selected emerging markets delivering strong returns. However, renewed energy-driven inflation pressures kept central banks cautious, while a sharp correction in semiconductor and AI-related stocks weighed on technology-focused markets. Against this mixed backdrop, the Balanced portfolio benchmark returned -0.45% during the month.

Global equity markets moved higher this week, led by strong gains across US technology stocks. Elsewhere, rising Eurozone inflation strengthened the case for further interest-rate increases, commodities remained volatile, and geopolitical tensions continued to affect energy markets. We also examine the outlook for ECB leadership, climate-related risks to UK food production and the key economic releases ahead.

UK equities proved resilient over the week, while US markets moved lower as technology stocks led the decline. Renewed fighting between the United States and Iran drove oil prices sharply higher and revived inflation concerns, while UK politics entered a new chapter with Andy Burnham preparing to take office. Looking ahead, markets will focus on UK inflation data and the ECB’s latest interest-rate decision.

Global markets delivered positive returns in June, as continued enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and semiconductor stocks outweighed concerns over rising inflation and restrictive monetary policy. Technology-led gains supported equity markets, while healthcare and biotechnology also performed strongly. However, bond performance dampened overall returns, with the Balanced portfolio benchmark gaining 0.43%. Central banks took differing approaches during the month.

Global markets moved higher in April as improving sentiment around the Middle East and continued strength in technology and semiconductor sectors supported equity returns. However, inflation reaccelerated across major economies due to rising energy prices, prompting central banks to maintain a cautious “higher for longer” stance on interest rates. While growth-oriented equity markets performed strongly, bond markets came under pressure as rising yields weighed on fixed income

Markets delivered another constructive week overall, with technology stocks continuing to lead gains as investor sentiment improved across US equities. Political developments in the UK, inflation concerns across Europe, and ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz remained key drivers for markets, while central banks continued to signal a cautious approach toward interest rates amid persistent inflationary pressures.

2025 was marked by shifting policy, geopolitical tension and rapid changes in investor sentiment. While easing inflation and cautious rate cuts supported markets, trade tensions repeatedly triggered volatility. Sharp sell-offs—most notably in April following US tariff announcements—were followed by swift recoveries, underscoring market resilience. The year reinforced the value of diversification, discipline and a long-term approach as leadership rotated across regions, sector