News & Views

Political leadership may change, but reacting to headlines can undermine long-term investment plans. We explore why disciplined, diversified portfolios are generally more resilient than decisions based on political predictions.

Markets remained broadly stable this week, despite further weakness across the major US indices and continued volatility in commodity prices. In this week’s review, we examine the latest US inflation figures, renewed uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, the ECB’s warning over climate-related financial risks and the key economic data due in the week ahead.

2025 was marked by shifting policy, geopolitical tension and rapid changes in investor sentiment. While easing inflation and cautious rate cuts supported markets, trade tensions repeatedly triggered volatility. Sharp sell-offs—most notably in April following US tariff announcements—were followed by swift recoveries, underscoring market resilience. The year reinforced the value of diversification, discipline and a long-term approach as leadership rotated across regions, sector

Global markets stumbled in March amid rising inflation expectations and renewed trade tensions. The Balanced portfolio returned -2.09% as U.S. tariffs sparked fears of a trade war, prompting caution among investors. While Europe cut interest rates and inflation cooled slightly in the UK, pressure remains on central banks. Equity markets were volatile, with tech and key Asian markets underperforming, while some financial sectors showed resilience.

Markets trended sideways in February amid rising inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. The Balanced portfolio returned -0.37% as UK and EU rate cuts contrasted with the US Fed’s cautious stance. Inflation rose across regions, with UK CPI hitting 3.00% and the ECB reassuring that disinflation remains on track. While developed and emerging markets showed mixed performance, China led gains. Volatility persists, but history suggests potential progress as the year unfolds.